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Market-driven tools for asset allocation and strategic investment
 HCWE supports the institutional investment community in formulating investment strategies through intelligent use of market data and superior understanding of how markets have behaved over time. Markets forecast Markets! With many decades in the business of capital-market analysis and reporting, HCWE remains one of the most dependable resources for innovative research designed specifically for the institutional investor. We distribute our research findings in a variety of periodic reports with telephone and video conferences and occasional on-site briefings. Find out how HCWE Insight can work for you. Contact us at: +1(978)468-4575 or send us a message. |
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Authorized users can view recent publications by signing in and visiting the Archives
 CPI MarketCast |
| A Market-based Forecast of Forthcoming Change in CPI Inflation - 02/27/2026 |
| Forecast: An acceleration of 0.4 percentage points. |
|
S&P Marketcast |
| A Market-based Forecast of Forthcoming Stock-Market Performance 12 months forward from the end of February 2026 - 03/28/2026 |
| The prices of commodities are predictive factors in the macro-economy. In particular, gold and crude oil, are powerful inputs for anticipating the direction and magnitude of the inflation rate a year in advance. |
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Equity-Market Outlook |
| Do Stock Returns have Leading Indicators in Financial and Capital Markets? - 03/31/2026 |
| Traditionally, the stock market follows a random walk and cannot have leading indicators. This is not accurate. Expressed in nominal dollars, US stock-market indexes contain an element of inflation, and that is not random. The price of oil correlates well with stock prices and leads them by a year. |
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Economic and Investment Observations |
| Output Growth and the Real Price of Crude Oil - 02/28/2026 |
| The "real" price of oil can be defined as the nominal price deflated by the price of gold in distant forward markets. Its movments bear a strong correlation to real GDP growth, with a lead time of two months. |
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