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Market-driven tools for asset allocation and strategic investment


The Markets Message

HCWE supports the institutional investment community in formulating investment strategies through intelligent use of market data and superior understanding of how markets have behaved over time. Markets forecast Markets!

With many decades in the business of capital-market analysis and reporting, HCWE remains one of the most dependable resources for innovative research designed specifically for the institutional investor.

We distribute our research findings in a variety of periodic reports with telephone and video conferences and occasional on-site briefings.

Find out how HCWE Insight can work for you. Contact us at: +1(978)468-4575 or send us a message.

R. David Ranson,
President and
Director of Research,
HCWE & Co.


Highlights from Recent Publications

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Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Economy Watch
The confidence factor in economic fluctuations - 07/30/2024
National output and growth are the result of more than just supply and demand. A third factor is uncertainty or confidence, which move up and down as the environment changes. One measure of uncertainty is the VIX indicator of implied stock-market volatility. Movements in VIX help explain business fluctuations to a significant extent.
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  International Forecaster
How to anticipate top emerging-market performers - 07/30/2024
No economic factor is linked more closely to stock-market performance in the emerging world than currency instability. When major progress toward stabilization occurs, that's when markets soar.
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Fixed-Income Barometer
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 08/19/2024
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Economic Barometer
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 07/30/2024
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Emerging-Market Selector
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 07/30/2024
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Sector Watch
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 08/19/2024
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Synopsis
Highlights: - 07/30/2024
In the short term, fresh geopolitical risks keep breaking out. They temporarily elevate the price of gold, but depress risky-asset markets such as equities, commodities, and (counter-intuitively) crude oil in particular. At the same time the price effects of older anxieties wear off with the passage of time. The result is a tug-of-war in which the oil price and inflation rate fluctuate (Exhibit 5) and the Fed is pushed one way and then the other.
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  HCWE Webcast
Explaining US Inflation Today -- What Experience Tells Us - 08/28/2024
Beliefs about how the economy works usually come from what people learned in school or have heard from the press. It pays to check out the facts. Inflation is an example of a major subject about which generally accepted beliefs originate in theory-building rather than observation or experience.

Get the stories behind the headlines! Contact HCWE & Co. at +1(978)468-4575
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HCWE In the News

Wainwright in the news
bullet New! Think Inflation Is Cooling? Think Again. Randall W. Forsyth, Barrons.com, May 18, 2024 Read
bullet Dr. David Ranson's 2024 Financial Forecast, The Financial Quarterback, YouTube 2/10/2024 Play
bullet Taming the Inflation Beast, S. Constable, Briefings, Jan-Feb, 2024 Read
bullet What's Really Driving Inflation? It Ain't The Federal Reserve, S. Constable, Forbes.com, 8/28/23 Read
bullet What G.D.P.'s Cousin Can Tell Us About the Economy, P. Coy, New York Times, 8/8/23 Read
bullet How The Government Is Making The Silicon Valley Bank Crisis Worse, S. Constable, Forbes.com, 4/23/23 Read
bullet Why It's So Hard to Stop Inflation, Virtual Presentation, CFA Switzarland, 2/9/2023 Watch
bullet Norm Reversion for Oil Indicates Less-Than-Transitory Inflation, Opinion, Real Clear Markets, 3/6/2023 Read
bullet The Fed's Dim Chances - Podcast, The Independent Research Forum, 1/30/2023 [Play]
bullet Will Federal Reserve Rate Hikes Pull Down Inflation?, S. Constable, Forbes.com, 12/27/2022 Read
bullet Recession Still Nowhere To Be Seen, S. Constable, Forbes.com, 12/19/2022 Read
bullet Inflation Is About the Quality of Money, Not Quantity, David Ranson, Barron's - Economy & Policy, 11/25/22 Read

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