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Market-driven tools for asset allocation and strategic investment
HCWE supports the institutional investment community in formulating investment strategies through intelligent use of market data and superior understanding of how markets have behaved over time. Markets forecast Markets! With many decades in the business of capital-market analysis and reporting, HCWE remains one of the most dependable resources for innovative research designed specifically for the institutional investor. We distribute our research findings in a variety of periodic reports with telephone and video conferences and occasional on-site briefings. Find out how HCWE Insight can work for you. Contact us at: +1(978)468-4575 or send us a message. |
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Attention Investors |
Jumping oil prices have sparked a new inflation surge - 01/18/2025 |
No economic indicator is a better forecaster of inflation in the short term than the price of crude oil. And it is independent of other indicators. Its recent jump is signaling a scary inflation picture for at least the next couple of months. |
The Capitalist Perspective |
How government spending can undermine economic success - 12/22/2024 |
The recipient benefits when receiving unearned payments from Washington -- especially humanitarian aid. But over longer periods of time there is a hidden cost in self-reliance or resilience. This is quickly detectable in the impact of federal transfer payments on US growth. Read the most recent Capitalist Perspective now without charge. [ Read ] |
Interest-Rate Outlook |
Gold, oil and high-yield bonds - 12/30/2024 |
Together with the price of gold, the price of oil has predictive power, one year ahead, for the performance of junk bonds as well as equity markets. |
Economic and Investment Observations |
Historical regularities that challenge popular understanding of economic policy - 11/30/2024 |
Much economic dialogue is based on myths that make the case for a large and active federal government. But evidence to the contrary is plentiful. Federal spending doesn't encourage growth. Higher tax rates don't bring in more revenue. Interest-rate hikes don't mitigate inflation. |
International Forecaster |
- 11/22/2024 |
"By facilitating the allocation of the world's savings to the most productive uses, the free flow of capital across national borders confers substantial economic benefits, including the promotion of economic growth." ~ Ben S. Bernanke, Banque de France Financial Stability Review Launch Event, Paris, 2011. |
Fixed-Income Barometer |
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 11/22/2024 |
Equity-Market Barometer |
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 12/28/2024 |
International Barometer |
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 12/18/2024 |
Emerging-Market Selector |
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 01/19/2025 |
HCWE Webcast |
How Risk Drives A Cycle of Inflation and Equity Returns - 11/30/2024 |
Financial technology has made it possible to quantify market risk as never before. Although the economy and capital markets have always been driven in part by fluctuating risk, in recent years geopolitics has inserted greater and more variable risks as the Cold War has warmed up. It's now possible to recognize how the ebb and flow of geopolitical risk creates a cycle in commodity prices, inflation, capital markets, and Fed policy. |
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